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How Syria could create biggest problems for trump

http://samy909news.blogspot.com/2017/01/how-syria-could-create-biggest-problems.html

President Donald Trump shaked his first major foreign policy challenge.

The announcement by State Department spokesman Mark Toner that the United States ambassador to Kazakhstan participate in peace talks began in Syria in Astana, starting on Monday under pressure from the Trump administration.
Whether by accident or intention, Russian President Vladimir Putin called for these talks began three days after the inauguration of Trump, and just last week, a US representative invited as an observer.
With Trump's new administration far from being completely in place, the announcement Toner Trump gives truce, since Putin seems to set a schedule for Syria designed to keep America and Trump standing.
The Kremlin says it wants to talk to help cement a ceasefire in Syria, but by marginalizing the United States in the process, Putin is taking the lead in defining the outcome terms.

The policy has been invited behind the

The decision on who is invited to join the peace talks on the future of Syria.
But in the case of calls. It is the sponsor of the talks and begins to decide what comes next.
Syria opposition expects new course with Trump

Just a few days before the arrival of the participants.Although this is a large increase in Geneva, it should be noted that the previous negotiations did not go very far.The Geneva talks should be the transition from proximity contact partners in separate rooms to protagonists face to face. Never went through the next area.It was one of the major political parties in the world.In Astana the stage for broader participation seems defined.Many of the opposition groups and rebels in Syria have already said,

Why is Syria the biggest challenge for Trump?

Both Trump and Putin want ISIS is gone. But that's all they have in common.
Russia's largest ally in Syria is Iran, both returned to Syrian President Bashar Assad who said his blood in his hands.
Separation of Iran and Russia over Syria may be basic foreign policy challenge Trump.
But the atomic power division of Putin, Assad and Iranian supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Taken at his word - an aversion to Iran, an affinity for Putin, an aversion to Assad and a hatred of ISIS - Trump dilemma is clear.
Why Putin Allied US Putin Crimes in the Middle East
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Support Shiite Iran is also an affront to many United States allies in the Middle East, most of them are Sunni Muslims.
In the Middle East today, there is cold cold fire between Sunni and Shiite populations. Many Sunnis anxiety following the invasion of Bush to Iraq, Iran at a high point.
Iran's growing influence is also a serious security problem for key US allies in the region: Israel.

It's more complicated

ISIS and Al-Qaeda have prospered in part for the Syrian civil war. Without a political solution - and that means, to replace Assad - it can never be eradicated.
As Assad is Iran's most important link to Hezbollah, even if Putin wanted the Syrian leader to dig, he would face pushback from Tehran. Why Putin risking if Hand Trumps is so weak?

Trump also comes to the negotiating table because the United States seems to be in Turkey Putin. Turkey is increasingly angry that the US has supported the Kurds to fight against Assad and ISIS in Syria.
What would Putin like for an agreement in Syria? Simple, but likely to give more coverage of Trump: recognition of Putin's sovereignty in Syria, suspended sanctions on its seizure of Crimea and theft in Ukraine and NATO on the Russian border.
This in itself is a high order, but ignored by an agreement of Middle East allies would be equivalent to Obama variations in chemical weapons when he vowed to retaliate if Syria used these weapons, this did not happen. Putin would win, and regional leverage of the United States would wither.

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